Routine decisions or those that do not involve perceived risk, we make without much thought. On the other hand, those that involve conflict or may affect our future are weighed against our intuition, which is not rarely mistaken.

If we think that we are guided by our reasoning, as a rule, our knowledge is imperfect, limited and generally biased.

Content by chapters

Chapter 1 -> Introduction to decision analysis
Chapter 2 -> Elements of a decision
Chapter 3 -> Analytica: Concepts and management
Chapter 4 -> Binomial, discrete and model distributions
Chapter 5 -> Expected Value and Average
Chapter 6 -> Theoretical Probability Distributions
Chapter 7 -> Central Limit Theorem (CLT)
Chapter 8 -> Monte Carlo Method (Paradoxes)
Chapter 9 -> Risk Profiles and Decisions
Chapter 10 -> Projects
Chapter 11-> Regressions
Chapter 12 -> About crises

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